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15 college basketball players with the most to prove in 2026-27

JT Toppin, Trey McKenney and Rob Wright III headline 15 college basketball players facing fascinating questions, enormous opportunities or increased expectations in 2026-27.
ByRodney Knuppel
JT Toppin
JT Toppin | IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect

Having something to prove doesn't mean a player hasn't already been successful.

Sometimes it means exactly the opposite.

Great players eventually encounter greater expectations. Transfers have to prove their production travels. Sophomores must demonstrate that promising freshman seasons weren't temporary. Highly recruited freshmen immediately encounter questions about whether their talent will translate against experienced college players.

Then there are players returning from injuries, players taking control of reconstructed teams and veterans getting one final opportunity to change the way their college careers are remembered.

These 15 enter 2026-27 with particularly fascinating questions to answer.

1. JT Toppin, Texas Tech

Toppin has already proven he can dominate college basketball.

Now he has to prove he can do it again after a major injury.

The Texas Tech star was averaging 21.8 points and 10.8 rebounds before tearing the ACL in his right knee in February. His recovery immediately became one of the most important stories surrounding the Big 12.

Nobody should expect Toppin to instantly look exactly like the player he was before the injury.

If he eventually does, Texas Tech becomes significantly more dangerous.

2. Trey McKenney, Michigan

McKenney's opportunity expanded dramatically when Brandon McCoy Jr. suffered a season-ending ACL injury.

Michigan still has veteran guards Elliot Cadeau and Roddy Gayle Jr., but McKenney now has a clear opportunity to become one of the Wolverines' primary perimeter weapons.

That's a major responsibility for a sophomore on the defending national champions.

If McKenney makes the jump, Michigan's ceiling remains extremely high.

3. Rob Wright III, BYU

Wright has already produced star numbers.

The question is what happens when the team becomes unquestionably his.

He averaged 18.1 points and 4.6 assists last season while shooting 41% from beyond the arc. Now BYU will rely on Wright to provide leadership and consistent offense around a roster featuring several new pieces.

Another efficient season could push him into first-team All-America consideration.

4. John Blackwell, Duke

Blackwell scored 1,505 points at Wisconsin.

Playing at Duke creates a different kind of spotlight.

The Blue Devils don't need him to average 20 points, but they do need his experience to matter when games tighten. Blackwell will be surrounded by more high-end talent than at any previous point in his college career.

If he becomes Duke's dependable closer, the transfer could end his career as one of the defining guards of the season.

5. Juke Harris, Tennessee

Harris arrives at Tennessee with enormous opportunity.

At 6-foot-7, he possesses the size to create matchup problems throughout the SEC. Barnes also has enough guard depth that Harris won't need to carry every possession.

What Tennessee needs is consistency.

If Harris turns his physical tools into efficient production at both ends, he could become one of the biggest breakout players in the country.

6. Braylon Mullins, UConn

One shot can make a player famous.

Following it with an entire season of star-level basketball is harder.

Mullins averaged 12.0 points as a freshman and became a March hero during UConn's Final Four run. Now Ball's season-ending injury increases Mullins' importance considerably.

UConn doesn't merely need another memorable tournament shot.

It needs Mullins to become one of the Big East's best players from November through March.

7. Jackson Shelstad, Louisville

Shelstad has produced at Oregon.

Now he gets a roster built to win immediately.

Louisville's transfer haul means Shelstad will have excellent options around him, including Bidunga, Trimble and Knox. It also means expectations are enormous.

Shelstad's ability to organize those pieces may determine whether Louisville becomes merely talented or genuinely great.

8. Andrej Stojakovic, Illinois

Illinois reached the Final Four last season.

Stojakovic now gets an opportunity to become one of the faces of a team trying to return.

The 6-foot-7 senior has the size and scoring skill to become an extremely difficult perimeter matchup. Illinois also has enough frontcourt talent that defenses can't devote all of their attention to him.

This is the season for Stojakovic to turn flashes into consistent star production.

9. Nigel James Jr., Marquette

James was spectacular as a freshman.

Now everybody knows.

Big East opponents will design game plans specifically to keep him out of the paint, force the ball from his hands and test his decision-making.

That's the natural progression for a young star.

If James still produces at an elite level despite becoming the focus of every scouting report, he'll have proven he belongs in the national All-America conversation.

10. Acaden Lewis, Miami

Lewis isn't simply transferring from Villanova to Miami.

He's taking control of a team with legitimate expectations.

His 5.3 assists and 1.9 steals per game as a freshman demonstrated that he can influence basketball games in multiple ways. Miami now needs him to turn an intriguing roster into a functioning offense.

If Lewis succeeds, the Hurricanes could challenge Duke, Louisville and Virginia near the top of the ACC.

11. Markus Burton, Indiana

Burton has already demonstrated that he can score.

Indiana needs him to prove that production can become winning Big Ten basketball.

The former Notre Dame guard enters a program where expectations rarely disappear regardless of how much roster turnover occurs.

If Burton becomes the reliable creator Indiana needs, the Hoosiers could climb considerably higher than their preseason position.

12. Jordan Smith Jr., Arkansas

Freshmen at Arkansas under Calipari don't receive much time to hide.

Smith arrives with significant expectations after Arkansas lost Acuff, Thomas and several other important contributors.

The freshman has the physical tools and talent to become an immediate difference-maker, but SEC guards will test him in ways high school opponents couldn't.

His development could determine Arkansas' ceiling.

13. Miles Sadler, West Virginia

Sadler arrives as the highest-rated recruit West Virginia has ever signed according to the school's 247Sports rankings.

That's exciting.

It also creates expectations unlike those facing most freshmen.

Sadler averaged 23.3 points and 8.3 assists during the Chipotle Nationals and has the skill to become West Virginia's offensive centerpiece quickly.

Now he has to prove it against Big 12 defenses.

14. Jason Crowe Jr., Missouri

Scoring 4,718 high school points guarantees attention.

Crowe will receive plenty of it.

His 43.3-point senior scoring average and McDonald's All-American performance demonstrate a remarkable ability to put the basketball in the basket.

College basketball will test everything else.

Can he score efficiently against longer defenders? Can he create for teammates when defenses send multiple players at him? Can he defend SEC guards?

If the answers are yes, Missouri may have one of America's best freshmen.

15. Tahaad Pettiford, Auburn

Pettiford has already produced two strong college seasons.

Now Auburn needs him to turn individual production into leadership.

He averaged 15.4 points and 3.8 assists last season and repeatedly delivered against high-level opponents. His offensive talent isn't the question.

The challenge is becoming the guard who controls games consistently rather than simply exploding during portions of them.

If Pettiford makes that jump, Auburn's outlook changes considerably.

Pressure creates opportunity

Toppin faces the most difficult challenge because returning from an ACL injury is fundamentally different from simply accepting a larger role.

Everyone else faces a basketball question.

Can Wright become the unquestioned centerpiece? Can Mullins become a star for an entire season? Can McKenney handle greater responsibility for the defending champions? Can Smith, Sadler and Crowe translate enormous freshman expectations into immediate production?

By March, several of these questions will seem silly.

We'll already know the answers.

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