Busting Brackets
Fansided

Bracketology Bubble Watch: Breaking down who remains in at-large contention

By Lukas Harkins

MILWAUKEE, WISCONSIN - FEBRUARY 05: Justin Simon #5 of the St. John's Red Storm dunks the ball in the second half against the Marquette Golden Eagles at the Fiserv Forum on February 05, 2019 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. (Photo by Dylan Buell/Getty Images)
MILWAUKEE, WISCONSIN - FEBRUARY 05: Justin Simon #5 of the St. John's Red Storm dunks the ball in the second half against the Marquette Golden Eagles at the Fiserv Forum on February 05, 2019 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. (Photo by Dylan Buell/Getty Images) /
facebooktwitterreddit
Prev
7 of 10
Next
Photo by Chris Covatta/Getty Images
Photo by Chris Covatta/Getty Images /

Big 12 Conference

Lead-pipe lock: Kansas, Iowa State, Texas Tech, Kansas State

Firmly in the field: None.

Some perspiration: Baylor, Oklahoma, TCU

Double the deodorant: Texas

Baylor Bears (15-7, 6-3 B12)

NET: 32 | KPI: 32 | SOR: 43 | BPI: 32 | KP: 28 | Sag: 35

Q1: 4-4 | Q2: 5-1 | Q3: 1-0 | Q4: 5-2

Baylor still holds those two dreadful losses but is, on the whole, in pretty good shape to go dancing. The Bears, despite only splitting their matchups during this past week, are playing better than just about anyone else in the nation and should compete near the top of the Big 12 throughout the rest of the year. They should easily be able to snag a bid and with back-to-back home games coming up, they could be a lock soon.

Oklahoma Sooners (15-8, 3-7 B12)

NET: 37 | KPI: 25 | SOR: 31 | BPI: 38 | KP: 38 | Sag: 29

Q1: 3-6 | Q2: 4-2 | Q3: 8-0 | Q4: 0-0

Oklahoma is sliding. With just a 3-7 record in Big 12 play, this season is starting to look eerily familiar to last season for the Sooners and that is not necessarily a good sign. Oklahoma has definitely faltered as of late and it is starting to show in their metric rankings as well. OU seems to still be in fairly solid position within the field but KenPom is only projecting them to win two of their remaining eight games. If that occurs….yikes.

TCU Horned Frogs (16-6, 4-5 B12)

NET: 40 | KPI: 34 | SOR: 33 | BPI: 41 | KP: 41 | Sag: 32

Q1: 0-5 | Q2: 5-1 | Q3: 6-0 | Q4: 5-0 

TCU really did not play well during this past week and it showed in the predictive metrics. First, they got absolutely blown out on the road by Baylor in a game that was never particularly close. They then followed up that performance by narrowly squeaking out a victory over Oklahoma State at home. Both of these performances were detrimental to their tournament hopes as they dropped about 8-10 spots in each metric used by the committee. TCU deserves to be firmly in the field right now but their lack of quality wins could eventually come back to haunt them.

Texas Longhorns (13-10, 5-5 B12)

NET: 38 | KPI: 28 | SOR: 56 | BPI: 34 | KP: 27 | Sag: 28

Q1: 4-5 | Q2: 3-3 | Q3: 2-2 | Q4: 4-0

Texas’ resume continues to be extremely all over the place. In addition some of the best wins among all of the bubble teams, they also have some extremely puzzling losses. Because of this, it is hard to really gauge where the Longhorns will be at the end of the season. In my opinion, though, they will add another strong win or two and it will be hard to leave them out even if they collect a few more losses as well.

Home/Bracketology