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Creighton Basketball: Can Bluejays shoot their way through March?

NEWARK, NJ - FEBRUARY 12: Marcus Zegarowski #11 of the Creighton Bluejays shoots the ball against the Seton Hall Pirates during a Big East Conference game at Prudential Center on February 12, 2020 in Newark, NJ. (Photo by Porter Binks/Getty Images)
NEWARK, NJ - FEBRUARY 12: Marcus Zegarowski #11 of the Creighton Bluejays shoots the ball against the Seton Hall Pirates during a Big East Conference game at Prudential Center on February 12, 2020 in Newark, NJ. (Photo by Porter Binks/Getty Images) /
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Marcus Zegarowski Creighton Basketball (Photo by Justin Casterline/Getty Images)
Marcus Zegarowski Creighton Basketball (Photo by Justin Casterline/Getty Images) /

Refuting getting out of the first weekend

The best argument for Creighton’s ability to successfully progress through the NCAA Tournament is that they have beaten good teams already. The same logic can be applied to refute that argument with the same breath, that they have lost to bad teams already. More importantly, are the abnormalities that contributed to their big victories.

Creighton’s biggest win to date was the 86-70 victory over Villanova, which was not that close. In that game, the Bluejays connected on 46 percent of their three-pointers. Creighton also went from defeating Seton Hall by 36 points, to upending the Pirates by four points twenty-one days later.  In that four-point victory, the Bluejays hit 54 percent from beyond the arc.

Clearly, in order to average 37 percent from deep, a team needs to have games where they shoot above their average, but there is no rhyme or reason as to which game these high percentages will come to fruition.

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So while the Bluejays have made a lot of threes in games, they have also missed a lot of threes in games and if a team is going to win two games in the tournament for the first time in school history, without one of the wins being the third-place game, the team needs to diversify their scoring on the floor more.