NCAA Basketball: Best bets for 2021-22 regular-season power league titles
By Ian Mumm
As the days leading up to the NCAA Basketball season are rapidly winding down, Busting Brackets betting affiliate WynnBet has continued to roll out preseason odds before tip-off begins. Following the release of projected win totals and Final Four odds, the listing of regular-season conference odds has again provided a way for fans to place “futures” bets.
Data gathered over the last decade by www.sportsoddshistory.com have given some insights into identifying “value” for selecting regular-season winners during the preseason. Since 2011-12, excluding 2017-19, the average odds for a Power 6 conference winner are +304 with the average preseason ranking at 2.234. Over the last pair of seasons, these odds have increased to provide more value at +370 with an average position of 2.417.
Opportunities for “longshots” and higher paydirt are harder to come by with only four instances of +1000 odds or greater out of 47 (8.5%) succeeding. The lower conversions of higher odds are due to top teams being able to drop games here and there before recovering to win the title in the end.
These trends indicate “value” isn’t as deep when betting this specific result in college basketball, however it does still exist in smaller amounts. Roughly 25% of the regular-season titles in Power 6 conferences have been won by teams priced at +600 and over since 2011-12.
Looking at the odds provided by WynnBet, I have identified the teams that fall in this range you can back with confidence and assurance there’s still value on the table for your wallet.