BRACKETOLOGY: A week of high-profile matchups shake up the protected seeds in the latest field of 68

Chaos ensued at the top of the bracket after plenty of March-level matchups
Feb 14, 2026; Tucson, Arizona, USA; Texas Tech Red Raiders forward LeJuan Watts (3) celebrates during the second half of the game against the Arizona Wildcats at McKale Memorial Center. Mandatory Credit: Aryanna Frank-Imagn Images
Feb 14, 2026; Tucson, Arizona, USA; Texas Tech Red Raiders forward LeJuan Watts (3) celebrates during the second half of the game against the Arizona Wildcats at McKale Memorial Center. Mandatory Credit: Aryanna Frank-Imagn Images | Aryanna Frank-Imagn Images

We are less than four weeks away from Selection Sunday, and one would think that parts of the field would be coming into focus. However, that couldn’t be any further from the truth. As expected, 10-12 teams continue to bounce on and off the bubble daily. What hasn’t been expected is that the top seed line is still in flux, thanks to some late-season gauntlets facing some teams.

Duke lost to North Carolina, took care of business against Clemson at home, and now hosts Michigan next week before finishing the season with games against Virginia, NC State, and a return engagement with UNC. Arizona was knocked from the ranks of the unbeatens by Kansas, which then got beat by Iowa State. Then Texas Tech went into Tucson and handed them a second loss on Saturday. Now they have BYU and Houston on deck this week. Michigan has Purdue and Duke this week before a first-place road battle at Illinois at the end of the month. On Tuesday, chaos ensued with Nebraska, North Carolina, Illinois, and Iowa State all losing. Here is how the field looks after a tumultuous week

Midwest Region (Chicago)

Buffalo

1.) Michigan vs. 16.) Long Island

8.) NC State vs. 9.) Indiana

Portland

5.) Tennessee vs. 12.) South Florida

4.) Michigan State vs. 13.) Hawaii

Tampa

6.) Louisville vs. 11.) TCU/Santa Clara

3.) Florida vs. 14.) High Point

Oklahoma City

7.) Utah State vs. 10.) Texas

2.) Houston vs. 15.) Portland State

East Region (Washington, D.C.)

Greenville

1.) Duke vs. 16.) Navy/Bethune-Cookman

8.) Iowa vs. 9.) Auburn

Tampa

5.) North Carolina vs. 12.) Liberty

4.) Vanderbilt vs.) 13.) UNC-Wilmington

San Diego

6.) St. John's vs. 11.) UCLA

3.) Texas Tech vs. 14.) Wright State

St. Louis

7.) Kentucky vs. 10.) SMU

2.) Purdue vs. 15.) Tennessee-Martin

West Region (San Jose)

San Diego

1.) Arizona vs. 16.) NJIT/Morgan State

8.) Saint Mary's vs. 9.) Texas A&M

Greenville

5.) Alabama vs. 12.) Belmont

4.) Kansas vs. 13.) Stephen F. Austin

Portland

6.) BYU vs. 11.) Georgia/Virginia Tech

3.) Gonzaga vs. 14.) Austin Peay

Buffalo

7.) Villanova vs. 10.) Miami

2.) Illinois vs. 15.) South Alabama

South Region (Houston)

Philadelphia

1.) UConn vs. 16.) Merrimack

8.) Wisconsin vs. 9.) UCF

Philadelphia

5.) Arkansas vs. 12.) Yale

4.) Virginia vs. 13.) Cal Baptist

Oklahoma City

6.) Saint Louis vs. 11.) Miami (OH)

3.) Nebraska vs. 14.) North Dakota State

St. Louis

7.) Clemson vs. 10.) USC

2.) Iowa State vs. 15.) East Tennessee State

The Bubble

Last four in:

Georgia

TCU

Santa Clara

Virginia Tech

First four out:

Ohio State

Missouri

San Diego State

New Mexico

Next four out:

California

West Virginia

VCU

Seton Hall

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