Johni Broome, Cooper Flagg among best Prop Bets for Saturday's Final Four games

Breaking down the highest value prop lines for Houston, Duke, Florida, and Auburn.
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Walter Clayton o21.5 Points -110

This may be a high number, but this line seems too good to be true the way Walter Clayton Jr. has been playing in March. Through four NCAA tournament games, Clayton Jr. is averaging 22.3 PPG. Florida only played Auburn once in SEC regular season play, a game that was played in Auburn in which Walt had 19 points. 

The thought process is simple: Walt is having his Kemba run and playing out his mind, plus he was able to score 19 points the 1st time against Auburn in a much more hostile environment. At this point, Florida is going to live and die by Walter Clayton Jr.

Johni Broome o2.5 Assists -110

Per KenPom, Florida has a top ten defense in the country. Auburn relies on offensive production from Johni Broome in isolation, and I don’t think the Gators will let him get comfortable. When the double teams start to come, Broome is going to have the opportunity to find one of Auburn’s many shooters. 

Broome enters the game averaging 2.9 APG on the year, and in Auburn's first and only meeting with Florida he tallied 6 assists. 

Emmanuel Sharp o13.5 Points -110

In Houston’s past three NCAA tournament games, Sharp is averaging 15.0 PPG. He’s been a productive as a secondary scoring option to LJ Cryer, coming off a 16 point effort against KenPom’s #1 defense Tennessee. 

When looking at Duke’s NCAA tournament games this March, the off ball wings are the players who have done damage. Against Alabama, Mark Sears was held to 6 points while Labaron Philon tallied 16 points. Against Arizona, Jaden Bradley tallied 15 points. Against Baylor, VJ Edgecombe tallied 16 points. The Blue Devils have consistently been beaten by the off ball wings, which puts Emmanuel Sharp in prime position to fill it up Saturday night.

Cooper Flagg o19.5 Points -110

Another high number, and another line that seems too good to be true. Houston boasts one of the nation’s best defenses, and I expect the Duke guards to have some serious trouble offensively. That being said, Houston does not have a starter over 6’8” to match Cooper Flagg’s height and length. 

If Kon Knueppel and Tyrese Proctor are struggling more than usual, the Blue Devils will rely on Flagg to get easy buckets in the paint. Not to mention, Flagg can be a ball handler for the Blue Devils if Houston decides to turn up the heat. Expect Flagg to get his on Saturday night.