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2016 NBA Draft: Is Ben Simmons Worth the Risk?

Mar 11, 2016; Nashville, TN, USA; LSU Tigers forward Ben Simmons (25) celebrates with guard Tim Quarterman (55) in the second half against the Tennessee Volunteers during the SEC tournament at Bridgestone Arena. LSU won 84-75. Mandatory Credit: Christopher Hanewinckel-USA TODAY Sports
Mar 11, 2016; Nashville, TN, USA; LSU Tigers forward Ben Simmons (25) celebrates with guard Tim Quarterman (55) in the second half against the Tennessee Volunteers during the SEC tournament at Bridgestone Arena. LSU won 84-75. Mandatory Credit: Christopher Hanewinckel-USA TODAY Sports /
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The Philadelphia 76ers gained the No. 1 pick in the 2016 NBA Draft and are expected to use it on LSU’s Ben Simmons.

The NBA held their annual draft lottery on Wednesday night and once the balls stopped bouncing around, it was revealed the Philadelphia 76ers and Los Angeles Lakers had drawn positions one and two for the NBA Draft on June 23.

Related Story: Ben Simmons versus Brandon Ingram

Considering some analysts believe this to be a two-player draft, you might forgive both the Sixers and Lakers if they feel pretty good with more than a month to think deeply about their picks.

As is the case ahead of any professional sports draft, there will be visits, workouts, evaluations and interviews conducted with countless prospects looking to cement their place on draft night.

Yet in the absence of an unforeseen shakeup of epic proportions, it’s a foregone conclusion Ben Simmons and Brandon Ingram will go first and second.

Or maybe it’ll be Ingram, then Simmons.

Whatever the ultimate order ends up being, there’s a near consensus it’ll be either Duke’s silky smooth wing or LSU’s promising Aussie taken in the top two slots.

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So where’s the drama and intrigue for this year’s draft?

Look no further than Simmons’ resume to find enough questions to wonder whether Philadelphia will pull the trigger at No. 1.

Rewind back to October and Simmons would have been the top pick with no questions asked. Considered something of a LeBron James 2.0, professional scouts were already drooling over the 6-foot-10 forward’s ability to score, defend, pass and handle the ball.

Then a funny thing happened.

Simmons’ LSU Tigers, who were expecting big things heading into the 2015-16 campaign, stumbled badly. Instead of building on an NCAA Tournament appearance from 2014-15, the Tigers sleepwalked to a 19-14 mark culminating in a 71-38 flameout against Texas A&M in the SEC Tournament.

A season that began with such promise became an exercise in frustration with losses to the likes of College of Charleston, Houston, N.C. State and Wake Forest. The Tigers rebounded somewhat by going 11-7 in the SEC, but by then, LSU’s series of non-conference losses had all but doomed their NCAA Tournament hopes.

The biggest question was how a team that returned key players such as Keith Hornsby, Tim Quarterman, Josh Gray and Jalyn Patterson could have stumbled so badly heading into the new campaign, especially since Simmons was viewed as the final piece of a puzzle to catapult LSU back into the national conversation.

For whatever reason, the Tigers simply never jelled.

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They surrendered nearly 10 points more per game (77.1 in 2015-16 versus 67.7 in 2014-15) and allowed the opposition to shot 45.3 percent from the field. LSU was also out-shot from both the three-point territory and the free throw line, indicating a possible lack of focus.

How much of that lack of focus was on Simmons remains unanswered.

Statistically, he put together a strong season, averaging 19.2 points, 11.8 rebounds and shooting 56 percent from the field.

When LSU revealed Simmons failed to meet requirements for the John Wooden Award, some disturbing questions were asked. Is he a leader? Does he lack maturity? And in the final analysis, is he really the can’t-miss prospect everyone was touting before he even stepped foot on a college court?

No one disputes Simmons’ on-court abilities. He’s a solid athlete who understands basketball at an elite level. Simmons is also a good finisher around the rim with deft touch who can rebound with the best of them.

But with the Sixers coming off a dismal 10-72 campaign, the last thing they need is distraction and immaturity in the locker-room. Philadelphia not only requires more talent, but mature professionals who will be able to absorb losses while learning to play at the highest level. Establishing a strong team dynamic will be critical in the future, and existing evidence doesn’t paint a great picture for Simmons in that regard.

On the flipside, Ingram seems to offer no such questions. Long and slender, the 6-foot-9 shooter averaged 17.3 points per game in helping Duke win 25 games. More importantly, nary a word was whispered regarding maturity or locker-room presence.

Add it all up and the Sixers have an interesting decision to make. Simmons or Ingram?

There will obviously be plenty of discussions within the Sixers organization about which direction to go. It’s entirely possible Simmons will live up to the hype and help build either Philadelphia or the Lakers into title contenders.

Next: 11 transfers off to greener pastures

For now, there are questions however. And going forward, only Simmons will be able to answer them.