Bracketology: Virginia Tech's upset win against Clemson has them knocking on the door

Bracket is forecasted on games through February 11.

Bubble Watch:

Last Four Byes: Auburn, Georgia, UCLA, Texas

Last Four In: Santa Clara, Ohio St., Miami (FL), San Diego St.

First Four Out: Virginia Tech, Missouri, New Mexico, Cal

Next Four Out: Oklahoma St., TCU, VCU, Seton Hall

Jan 24, 2026; Syracuse, New York, USA; Miami Hurricanes forward Malik Reneau (5) drives against Syracuse Orange forward Tyler Betsey (5) during the first half at the JMA Wireless Dome. Mandatory Credit: Rich Barnes-Imagn Images | Rich Barnes-Imagn Images

West (San José)

San Diego

(1) Arizona (Big 12) vs. (16) UMBC (America East)/(16) Merrimack (MAAC)

(8) Wisconsin vs. (9) Utah St. (Mountain West)

Greenville

(5) St. John's vs. (12) Stephen F. Austin (Southland)

(4) North Carolina vs. (13) Hawaii (Big West)

Portland

(6) Arkansas vs. (11) Santa Clara (WCC)/(11) Miami (FL)

(3) Florida (SEC) vs. (14) North Dakota St. (Summit)

Oklahoma City

(7) BYU vs. (10) Georgia

(2) Nebraska vs. (15) Navy (Patriot)

Feb 11, 2026; Athens, Georgia, USA; Florida Gators guard Boogie Fland (0) tries to get to the basket against the Georgia Bulldogs during the second half at Stegeman Coliseum. Mandatory Credit: Dale Zanine-Imagn Images | Dale Zanine-Imagn Images

South (Houston)

Philadelphia

(1) UConn (Big East) vs. (16) Bethune-Cookman (SWAC)/(16) Morgan St. (MEAC)

(8) Iowa vs. (9) SMU

San Diego

(5) Vanderbilt vs. (12) South Florida (American)

(4) Texas Tech vs. (13) Cal Baptist (WAC)

Philadelphia

(6) Clemson vs. (11) UCLA

(3) Michigan St. vs. (14) UNC Wilmington (CAA)

Oklahoma City

(7) North Carolina St. vs. (10) Texas A&M

(2) Houston vs. (15) Winthrop (Big South)

Feb 11, 2026; Indianapolis, Indiana, USA; UConn Huskies guard Solo Ball (1) celebrates after a play against the Butler Bulldogs during the second half at Hinkle Fieldhouse. Mandatory Credit: Robert Goddin-Imagn Images | Robert Goddin-Imagn Images

Midwest (Chicago)

Buffalo

(1) Duke (ACC) vs. (16) Wright St. (Horizon)

(8) Indiana vs. (9) St. Mary's

Portland

(5) Tennessee vs. (12) Belmont (MVC)

(4) Gonzaga vs. (13) Appalachian St. (Sun Belt)

Buffalo

(6) Kentucky vs. (11) Ohio St./(11) San Diego St.

(3) Iowa St. vs. (14) Portland St. (Big Sky)

Saint Louis

(7) Saint Louis (A10) vs. (10) USC

(2) Purdue vs. (15) UT Martin (OVC)

Feb 7, 2026; Lexington, Kentucky, USA; Kentucky Wildcats guard Otega Oweh (00) goes to the basket during the second half against the Tennessee Volunteers at Rupp Arena at Central Bank Center. Mandatory Credit: Jordan Prather-Imagn Images | Jordan Prather-Imagn Images

East (Washington, D.C.)

Greenville

(1) Michigan (Big Ten) vs. (16) Long Island (NEC)

(8) Miami (OH) (MAC) vs. (9) UCF

Tampa

(5) Alabama vs. (12) Liberty (C-USA)

(4) Virginia vs. (13) East Tennessee St. (SoCon)

Tampa

(6) Louisville vs. (11) Texas

(3) Illinois vs. (14) Austin Peay (A-SUN)

Saint Louis

(7) Villanova vs. (10) Auburn

(2) Kansas vs. (15) Harvard (Ivy)

Feb 11, 2026; Evanston, Illinois, USA; Michigan Wolverines center Aday Mara (15) dunks the ball against the Northwestern Wildcats during the first half at Welsh-Ryan Arena. Mandatory Credit: David Banks-Imagn Images | David Banks-Imagn Images