Busting Brackets

10 teams vulnerable to be upset in the first round of March Madness

There is an elite tier of college basketball this season, but it's an exclusive club. If your team is on the outside of that five or six-team group, then they could be vulnerable to a Round of 64 exit in the NCAA Tournament.

Kentucky Head Coach John Calipari
Kentucky Head Coach John Calipari / Caitie McMekin/News Sentinel / USA TODAY
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. 21-12 (11-9). . Net: 21 Projected Seed: 6. . 7. 493. Wisconsin. .

Back in January, Wisconsin looked like a team headed for the one or two line in March, but the Badgers faded down the stretch and played like a team that didn’t even belong in the field of 68. The difference between those stretches has mostly been three-point shooting. 

In January, the Badgers went 7-1 and shot 40.7% from three. Then, in February, Greg Gard’s team went cold, shooting 28.8% and losing seven of eight games. So, my advice: don’t be fooled by another hot stretch of shooting from Wisconsin. The reality is somewhere in the middle, and with the way this team plays defensively, that’s not good enough. 

Wisconsin’s opponents are shooting 45.9% from the field which ranks Wisconsin 282nd nationally. While playing at the slow pace that the Badgers prefer, that level of efficiency is hard to beat. 

The argument for Wisconsin is that the Badgers have been a different team since the emergence of freshman John Blackwell, but I don’t think that’s enough to offset the poor defensive play.