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2016 NBA Draft: Is Jamal Murray the best scorer in the draft?

Mar 19, 2016; Des Moines, IA, USA; Kentucky Wildcats guard Jamal Murray (23) shoots the ball against Indiana Hoosiers guard Yogi Ferrell (11) in the second half during the second round of the 2016 NCAA Tournament at Wells Fargo Arena. Mandatory Credit: Steven Branscombe-USA TODAY Sports
Mar 19, 2016; Des Moines, IA, USA; Kentucky Wildcats guard Jamal Murray (23) shoots the ball against Indiana Hoosiers guard Yogi Ferrell (11) in the second half during the second round of the 2016 NCAA Tournament at Wells Fargo Arena. Mandatory Credit: Steven Branscombe-USA TODAY Sports /
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What could Jamal Murray contribute to an NBA team when his name is called in next month’s 2016 NBA draft?

Selecting John Calipari players always seems to be a good bet in the NBA Draft.

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Karl-Anthony Towns, Willie Cauley-Stein and Julius Randle are just some of the promising players that are certainly expected to contribute to their respective franchises for years to come.

This year, the hottest commodity from Calipari’s team is Jamal Murray, a 6’4″ combo guard and a consensus top-10 selection.

On paper, Murray certainly seems like one of the best, if not the best pure scorer in the draft. He averaged 20 points per game in his one season at Kentucky, shot over 40 percent from three, and over 50 percent from two.

Breaking it down further, over 50 percent of his shots came from three, 20 percent of his shots came at the rim (where he shot 65 percent), and the other 28 percent of his shots were two-point jumpers (where he shot just 39 percent).

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Many scouts are worried about the fact that just 20 percent of his shots came at the rim.

Brandon Jefferson at NBADraft.net asks the question: Can he blow by NBA level athletes consistently and keep defenders from crowding him?

Murray was far more than a capable scorer in college basketball. There’s no doubting that. And he has the potential to be a very good scorer at the NBA level.

However, it was Murray’s performance against Indiana in the Round of 32 of this year’s NCAA Tournament that concerns many. Murray struggled, mostly because he was being guarded by Indiana’s OG Anunoby.

Anunoby won’t end up in the NBA next year, as he’ll still be playing for Indiana, but he certainly possesses the athleticism and defensive ability to play in the league some day. Anunoby’s 7’6″ wingspan frustrated Murray into a 7-of-18 performance from the floor, to the tune of just 16 points.

Anunoby is absurdly long and Murray will face athletes like him in the NBA every night. It’s fair to wonder if he’ll be able to get his shot off over guys like that; Anunoby finished with three blocks – two of which came on Murray three-point jump shots.

In the clip above, Murray thinks he has enough room for a trey, but Anunoby swallows him up and blocks the shot.

Every time Murray put the ball on the floor to try to get by Anunoby, he was crowded by the Hoosier and never could drive past him for an easy bucket.

The other knock on Murray is that he has a point guard’s body, but plays like a shooting guard. He played next to Tyler Ulis at Kentucky, one of the best point guards in the nation, so Murray never really had to have the ball in his hands.

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He had an assist rate of just 12 percent this year, fairly mediocre for someone who projects to be a lead guard in the NBA. And for someone who played off the ball so much, a turnover rate of 12 percent is really poor.

There have been multiple comparisons to Ben Gordon, and while I think Murray has an opportunity to be miles better than Gordon ever was, I don’t think it’s an unfair match. Murray definitely has a much more NBA-ready body than Gordon did, but the former UConn sharp shooter had a lot more experience playing the lead guard position when he entered the draft.

After all these flaws, Murray still remains a top five pick. He’s probably the best shooter in the draft not named Buddy Hield, and he possesses all the tools to be a better off-the-bounce type of player.

If Murray can develop his passing skills, he could end up being one of the better players in this draft.

A point guard that can function off the ball is becoming more important with ball-dominant players at the forward positions like Paul George, LeBron James, and Kawhi Leonard. Putting someone with Murray’s skillset next to them makes sense.

Unfortunately, he won’t get paired with superstars like that immediately. He likely ends up with Phoenix, Minnesota, or New Orleans. There are doubts that Boston would take him at number three overall, since they could just take Hield, who is a more NBA-ready version of Murray.

Ultimately, I wouldn’t expect Murray to dazzle too much in his rookie season. He needs time to develop his point guard skills, driving to the basket, and to get used to being guarded by elite-level athletes on a nightly basis.

But in a few years, drafting Murray could really pay off for an NBA team.