Bracketology: Bubble Watch and a mailbag full of questions
American Athletic Conference
Lead-Pipe Lock: None.
Some Perspiration: Cincinnati, SMU
Better Double-Up on the Deodorant: Houston, Memphis
Cincinnati Bearcats, 17-2 (7-0): With an undefeated record in conference and just two losses for the whole season (one to a top team in the country), it is hard to argue against Cincinnati’s place among the top squads nationwide. With a five seed right now, there is plenty of room to move up, even if there aren’t an incredible amount of chances for quality wins.
Quality wins: @ Iowa State, vs. Temple, @ Houston
Bad losses: None.
Missed opportunities: @ Butler, vs. Rhode Island.
Next up: vs. Xavier (1/26), vs. South Florida (1/29)
SMU Mustangs, 17-4 (7-1): Coming in at a seven seed on Monday, SMU actually has a fair amount of quality wins over other bubble teams. The loss to Boise State remains a rough one, but at least they have the benefit of it being on the road. SMU cannot afford too many poor losses though, or else their tournament hopes could be dashed.
Quality wins: vs. TCU, vs. Pittsburgh, vs. Houston, @ Memphis
Bad losses: @ Boise State
Missed opportunities: @ USC, vs. Michigan, @ Cincinnati
Next up: @ UCF (1/25), vs. East Carolina (2/1)
Houston Cougars, 15-7 (5-4): Just hanging off the cutline, Houston needs some help to receive a bid. They have a few missed opportunities and their major win over Rhode Island is starting to look weaker. After losing three in a row, the Cougars were able to bounce back to beat Tulane, but with dates with Cincinnati and SMU still remaining, they need to take advantage of both to put themselves into the bracket.
Quality wins: vs. Rhode Island
Bad losses: @ LSU, vs. Harvard, @ UCF
Missed opportunities: @ Arkansas, @ SMU, vs. Cincinnati, vs. Memphis
Next up: vs. Temple (1/28), vs. UCF (2/1)
Memphis Tigers, 15-5 (5-2): Winners of six of their last seven, the Tigers don’t have the best strength of schedule, but they have the wins. In their last four games, Memphis faces off against SMU and Cincinnati, both on the road, in huge opportunities to make the Big Dance. Without those wins, they are going to need quite a bit of help.
Quality wins: vs. South Carolina, @ Houston
Bad losses: @ Tulsa
Missed opportunities: vs. SMU, @ Mississippi
Next up: @ Temple (1/25), vs. East Carolina (1/28)