Busting Brackets
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Bracketology Bubble Watch: Breaking down who remains in at-large contention

By Lukas Harkins

MILWAUKEE, WISCONSIN - FEBRUARY 05: Justin Simon #5 of the St. John's Red Storm dunks the ball in the second half against the Marquette Golden Eagles at the Fiserv Forum on February 05, 2019 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. (Photo by Dylan Buell/Getty Images)
MILWAUKEE, WISCONSIN - FEBRUARY 05: Justin Simon #5 of the St. John's Red Storm dunks the ball in the second half against the Marquette Golden Eagles at the Fiserv Forum on February 05, 2019 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. (Photo by Dylan Buell/Getty Images) /
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TEMPE, ARIZONA – JANUARY 31: Martin of ASU and Lee of Arizona fight. (Photo by Chris Coduto/Getty Images)
TEMPE, ARIZONA – JANUARY 31: Martin of ASU and Lee of Arizona fight. (Photo by Chris Coduto/Getty Images) /

Pac-12 Conference

Lead-pipe lock: None.

Firmly in the field: None.

Some perspiration: Washington

Double the deodorant: Arizona State, Arizona, Oregon State

Washington Huskies (19-4, 10-0 P12)

NET: 26 | KPI: 22 | SOR: 25 | BPI: 43 | KP: 32 | Sag: 39

Q1: 3-3 | Q2: 3-1 | Q3: 6-0 | Q4: 7-0

Washington has not only clearly emerged as the top team in the Pac-12 in recent weeks but they are also the fastest-rising team in the nation. Their resume not feature a single bad loss and they will likely end the year with a fair number of quality, although not elite, wins. This bodes well for their future seeding and they could be a darkhorse team moving forward. Given the state of the Pac-12, though, it is too early to mark the Huskies as a lock (next week, I promise).

Arizona State Sun Devils (15-6, 6-3 P12)

NET: 61 | KPI: 44 | SOR: 51 | BPI: 53 | KP: 7 | Sag: 54

Q1: 3-1 | Q2: 5-3 | Q3: 1-2 | Q4: 6-1

Arizona State has been on the bubble for a long time and they did not do themselves any favors during this past week. The Sun Devils, who have been in my last group of teams in the tournament for some time, laid a massive egg this week at home in a 21-point defeat to Washington State. This was clearly their worst performance of the season and it resulted in a huge drop in almost all metrics. Arizona State is now on the wrong side of the cutline with work to do in a conference that is not exactly handing out Q1/2 opportunities.

Arizona Wildcats (14-9, 5-5 P12)

NET: 64 | KPI: 54 | SOR: 62 | BPI: 68 | KP: 69 | Sag: 50

Q1: 1-5 | Q2: 3-4 | Q3: 5-0 | Q4: 5-0

Arizona has a long way to go to potentially land an at-large bid. They do not boast a great record, do not have a ton of quality wins, and their metric rankings are average at best. But given the way the Pac-12 has performed so far this year, there is a chance that one team catches fire down the stretch and that might be the Wildcats. I wouldn’t count it, though, especially not after they have lost four games in a row. One more poor weak and they will be off the bubble watch.

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