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Bracketology Bubble Watch: Seton Hall, Utah State sitting right on the edge

By Lukas Harkins

LONDON, ENGLAND - SEPTEMBER 30: Bubbles are seen prior to the Premier League match between West Ham United and Swansea City at London Stadium on September 30, 2017 in London, England. (Photo by Dan Mullan/Getty Images)
LONDON, ENGLAND - SEPTEMBER 30: Bubbles are seen prior to the Premier League match between West Ham United and Swansea City at London Stadium on September 30, 2017 in London, England. (Photo by Dan Mullan/Getty Images) /
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AMES, IA – FEBRUARY 2: Coach Smart of Texas. (Photo by David Purdy/Getty Images)
AMES, IA – FEBRUARY 2: Coach Smart of Texas. (Photo by David Purdy/Getty Images) /

Big 12 Conference

Lead-pipe lock: Kansas, Iowa State, Texas Tech, Kansas State, Baylor

Firmly in the field: Oklahoma

Some perspiration: Texas

Double the deodorant: TCU.

Oklahoma Sooners (17-11, 5-10 B12)

NET: 42 | KPI: 28 | SOR: 31 | BPI: 41 | KP: 39 | Sag: 32

Q1: 3-9 | Q2: 7-2 | Q3: 7-0 | Q4: 0-0

With 10 total Q1/2 wins and no bad losses, Oklahoma seems like a sure bet to reach the NCAA Tournament. In fact, I think they will move right into the “lead-pipe lock” with a home win against West Virginia this weekend. That is the last game on the schedule that could really damage their resume significantly and make their position more precarious. On the whole, this has been an impressive season for the Sooners, who have done a nice job recovering after losing five straight a few weeks ago. This team will dance and cause their opponents problems. Current Bracketology Status: No. 9 seed.

Texas Longhorns (15-13, 7-8 B12)

NET: 36 | KPI: 36 | SOR: 57 | BPI: 29 | KP: 26 | Sag: 29

Q1: 4-8 | Q2: 4-3 | Q3: 4-2 | Q4: 3-0

Texas has lost two straight games and it seems as though they are playing their way closer to the bubble. For a long time, the Longhorns were riding a strong collection of wins at the top of their resume to a relatively safe position in the field. Now, though, their 4-8 Q1 record is not that far above average for bubble teams and they own two bad losses. They are now up to 13 total losses on the season and that matters, even if those defeats were (for the most part) to quality teams. Thankfully, almost all of their metric rankings are superb and that is keeping them firmly in the field at the moment. With that said, though, Texas finishes with matchups against Iowa State (home), Texas Tech (away), and TCU (home). None of those will be easy. Current Bracketology Status: No. 9 seed.

TCU Horned Frogs (18-10, 6-9 B12)

NET: 43 | KPI: 35 | SOR: 44 | BPI: 43 | KP: 45 | Sag: 40

Q1: 3-6 | Q2: 4-4 | Q3: 6-0 | Q4: 5-0

Every bracketologist wants to put TCU in their projected field but it is seemingly getting harder and harder to do so each week. During this past week, the Horned Frogs once again took a step in the right direction by defending their home court against Iowa State. After completing the season sweep of the Cyclones, it seemed as though the Horned Frogs were ready to assert themselves as a team worthy of dancing. But then they turned around and lost in triple-overtime to West Virginia on the road. This was a tough loss for the resume and now they are sitting rather precariously on the bubble with three really tough games left (vs. Texas Tech, vs. Kansas State, at Texas). They probably need to win two. Current Bracketology Seed: No. 11 (Last Four Byes).

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