Busting Brackets
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Bracketology Bubble Watch: Seton Hall, Utah State sitting right on the edge

By Lukas Harkins

LONDON, ENGLAND - SEPTEMBER 30: Bubbles are seen prior to the Premier League match between West Ham United and Swansea City at London Stadium on September 30, 2017 in London, England. (Photo by Dan Mullan/Getty Images)
LONDON, ENGLAND - SEPTEMBER 30: Bubbles are seen prior to the Premier League match between West Ham United and Swansea City at London Stadium on September 30, 2017 in London, England. (Photo by Dan Mullan/Getty Images) /
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KNOXVILLE, TN – JANUARY 19: Coach Johnson of Alabama looks. (Photo by Donald Page/Getty Images)
KNOXVILLE, TN – JANUARY 19: Coach Johnson of Alabama looks. (Photo by Donald Page/Getty Images) /

Southeastern Conference

Lead-pipe lock: Tennessee, Kentucky, LSU, Mississippi State

Firmly in the field: Auburn, Ole Miss

Some perspiration: Florida.

Double the deodorant: Alabama.

Auburn Tigers (19-9, 8-7 SEC)

NET: 23 | KPI: 37 | SOR: 33 | BPI: 12 | KP: 16 | Sag: 14

Q1: 2-7  | Q2: 8-2 | Q3: 4-0 | Q4: 4-0

Auburn is pretty safely in the field at this point in time. Despite holding very few Q1 wins, the Tigers have great metrics across the board and have not suffered any bad losses. Barring a disaster such as losing their last three games and dropping their first in the SEC Tournament, I think that they will get in. With that said, KenPom projects that Auburn will be favored in each of their three remaining games so this really shouldn’t even be an issue. The Tigers have, for the most part, underachieved this season but their sheer amount of talent will be really high for a No. 8/9 seed. Current Bracketology Status: No. 8 seed.

Ole Miss Rebels (19-9, 9-6 SEC)

NET: 38 | KPI: 38 | SOR: 36 | BPI: 44 | KP: 43 | Sag: 43

Q1: 4-8 | Q2: 3-1 | Q3: 6-0 | Q4: 6-0 

One of the more surprising teams in the nation this season, Ole Miss is in a very strong position to dance. The Rebels have dropped two of their last three games but I think it would take a lot for this team to fall out of the field. While it is certainly possible that Ole Miss could collapse down the stretch and lose each of their last three games, I think there just aren’t enough bubble teams pushing for bids for it to matter. Ole Miss will likely be a single-digit seed and probably will be favored in the first round of the NCAA Tournament. Nothing to really worry about here. Current Bracketology Status: No. 8 seed.

Florida Gators (17-11, 9-6 SEC)

NET: 29 | KPI: 45 | SOR: 41 | BPI: 30 | KP: 28 | Sag: 24

Q1: 3-9 | Q2: 5-1 | Q3: 4-1 | Q4: 5-0

Florida continued its hot streak during this past week as they won two more games, extending their current winning streak to five. This is a team that clearly catching fire at the right time. Quite honestly, I’m not sure there is a more dangerous NCAA Tournament team in the country right now. And that doesn’t mean that the Gators are going to make the Final Four of anything but they are the type of No. 8-11 seed that absolutely every top team will want to avoid. While seemingly every other team in that range has remained stagnant over the past few weeks, the Gators are putting it all together. Current Bracketology Status: No. 8 seed.

Alabama Crimson Tide (17-11, 8-7 SEC)

NET: 48 | KPI: 43 | SOR: 46 | BPI: 58 | KP: 56 | Sag: 51

Q1: 2-8 | Q2: 7-2 | Q3: 5-1 | Q4: 3-0

Alabama has been on the bubble so much this season that Avery Johnson has started paying rent. During this past week, the Crimson Tide handled their business against Vanderbilt and South Carolina while avoiding what would have been tough losses for the resume. Alabama is sitting practically right on the cutline at this point in time with a very challenging schedule remaining. The Tide finish with LSU (home), Auburn (home) and Arkansas (away). All three of these games represent opportunities for the team to either play their way in or out of the projected field. They likely need to win two. Current Bracketology Status: No. 11 seed (Last Four Byes).

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