NBA Draft 2019: 7 prospects that could thrive as future role players
Aric Holman – Mississippi State
Draft Status: Holman just finished his senior season and will be in the draft.
Draft Projection: Mocks are having Holman going in the late second round or not being drafted.
Role Player Projection:
Strengths: At 6-10, some of Holman’s statistics from this past season really jump out as positives. Using sports-reference, I went back to 2009-10 and looked for players that matched some of Holman’s statistical profiles, in particular those that reflected his ability to be a “stretch 5” (a big-man that can both provide defense and stretch the floor with their shooting). Specifically, I looked for players that had 1. a block percentage of >=7%, 2. a steal percentage of >=2%, 3. a three-point percentage >=40%, and 4. averaged >=1 made three per game (to filter out players that barely took any threes). Only two players showed up: Aric Holman’s 2018-19 season and Canisius’s Jordan Heath’s 2013-14 season (for those curious, Heath apparently has been playing ball overseas and signed a contract in 2016 to play in Switzerland. I’m not 100% sure where he’s at now).
GIF credit to NCAA March Madness
Weaknesses:
Holman is the tough combination of “old” (having played four years of college) and still a little raw. NBA teams are willing to invest in four-year players, but typically like guys that are polished and can potentially contribute right away. Holman has shown positive flashes but isn’t regarded as a particularly strong interior player on either end of the floor. He’s not a great rebounder and has been known to have occasional lapses defensively. Overall, Holman’s play has been inconsistent over his collegiate career.