Bracketology 2024: Latest Bubble Watch of key teams in late February

St. John’s (14-12) (NET: 51)
2-9 (Q1), 5-2 (Q2), 2-1 (Q3), 5-0 (Q4)

Favorable metrics are keeping the Red Storm in the at-large hunt, though just two Quad 1 wins isn’t exactly ideal. They beat Utah on a neutral-site back in November and won at Villanova in early January, with very few wins of note in recent weeks.

That Quad 3 loss was the first Monday of the year against a Michigan team that has turned out to be pretty lousy. St. John’s has picked up a ton of losses, though at least most of them are against Quad 1 competition. Other downfalls of note include a recent Quad 2 home loss to Seton Hall, pairing less than nicely with their 15-point loss to the Pirates in January.

St. John’s has won just two of their last ten games. We don’t have to explain why this is not ideal, especially when one of those wins was against lowly DePaul. There’s no question about it: for St. John’s to dance they must take advantage of their final opportunities against Creighton and Butler.

Texas (17-9) (NET: 33)
4-7 (Q1), 1-1 (Q2), 5-1 (Q3), 7-0 (Q4)

While they all came in Big 12 play, Texas does boast four Quad 1 wins on their resume. They snuck out a clutch win against Baylor back in January and have impressive road wins over Cincinnati, Oklahoma, and TCU.

Those tough losses have also come in league play, though both were over a month ago. The Quad 3 loss was a rough road game at West Virginia, four days before a Quad 2 loss at home versus UCF. There haven’t been any other disturbing performances, though losing at Houston by 21 last week wasn’t ideal.

What’s unfortunate here is that Texas doesn’t really have a good win in over two weeks, not since that win at TCU back on February 3rd. They’ve done great work in picking up some nice wins outside of Austin but adding to that might be both difficult and necessary. Road games remain at Kansas, Texas Tech, and Baylor in a murderous stretch.