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SEC Basketball: Buy or sell LSU, Auburn, Arkansas and Alabama?

By Trevor Sinodhinos

Nov 12, 2021; Auburn, Alabama, USA; Auburn Tigers forward Jabari Smith (10) attempts a 3 point shot during the second half against the Louisiana Monroe Warhawks at Auburn Arena. Smith led all scorers with 23 points. Mandatory Credit: John Reed-USA TODAY Sports
Nov 12, 2021; Auburn, Alabama, USA; Auburn Tigers forward Jabari Smith (10) attempts a 3 point shot during the second half against the Louisiana Monroe Warhawks at Auburn Arena. Smith led all scorers with 23 points. Mandatory Credit: John Reed-USA TODAY Sports /
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NCAA Basketball LSU Tigers guard Xavier Pinson John Reed-USA TODAY Sports
NCAA Basketball LSU Tigers guard Xavier Pinson John Reed-USA TODAY Sports /

LSU: Sell – Bear market

Head Coach Will Wade and the LSU Tigers did not have their name revealed by the Selection Committee as one of the top 16 seeds, but the LSU Tigers are firmly in the NCAA Tournament. Their home victories over Kentucky and Tennessee currently have them with five Quad 1 victories that have placed the Tigers among the top 20 in NET.

At the time of this writing, the Tigers’ S-Curve has them projected as a seventh seed, which would mean in order to make it to the Sweet Sixteen and surpass their current NET they would need a second-round victory over Baylor, Duke, or Purdue. With the Tigers currently being overvalued, it is time to sell and do so before they end the regular season with games versus Alabama and Arkansas.

One of the biggest detriments to the Tigers involves the biggest player on their team. At 6’11 Eftom Reid has started the 27 games he has played but manages fewer than 20 minutes and five rebounds per game. This leads to leading scorer Tari Eason coming off the bench and playing center a 6’8″.  The results have been obvious as they have surrendered 36 points in the paint in a 69-65 victory over Mississippi State and 28 points in the paint in their two-point loss to South Carolina.

The Tigers’ do lead the nation in steals as they have three players who average two or more per game, but six of their eight losses have come in games where they have fewer than 10 steals. In a conference that is home to talented guards like Sahvir Wheeler, JD Notae, and maybe most importantly Kennedy Chandler – as the Tigers line up to play Tennessee in the SEC semi-finals –  needing ten steals to win is a tall order, compounded by being No. 232 in three-point percentage, it is time to sell the LSU Fighting Tigers.

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